Friday, February 26, 2010

Federal profits jumps 32.6%

PT Federal International Finance, a motorcycle financing company controlled by Astra International, reported net profit of Rp812 billion last year, increased 32.6% from 2008 despite lower sales revenue of 3.7%.
FIF reported net sales revenue of Rp4.3 trillion or about US$458 million last year, declined 3.7% from 2008 on lower motorcycle sales nationwide. But the company managed to boost its profitability, most likely due to bigger gap between cost of funds and interest rates charged to motorists. Profit margin soared 38% to 12.9% last year.
The net profit of Rp812 billion represents ROE of 27.9%, increased 7.4% from 2008 and ROA of 8.9%. FIF had total asset of Rp9.13 trillion, declined slightly by 0.4% from 2008 with liabilities down 8.7% to Rp6.2 trillion.
For comparison, Adira Dinamika Multi Finance (ADMF), a subsidiary of Bank Danamon, reported sales revenue of Rp3.94 trillion, increased 16.6% from 2008, while net profit grew 18.8% to Rp1.21 trillion. Adira then reported ROE of 45.7% and profit margin of 30.8% last year. Thanks to the motorists who're willing to pay up to 42% interest per annum.

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Friday, January 15, 2010

Honda controls 8% car market

PT Honda Prospect Motor sold 40,674 Honda cars from various types in Indonesian market last year or a market share of 8.1%. Toyota is still the market leader with about 186,000 units. Daihatsu, meanwhile, claimed the second spot with 75,169 units, declined 3% from 2008.
Mitsubishi ranked fourth with 61,735 units, and Suzuki in fifth with 44,689 units. Indonesia's automobile association Gaikindo predicted Indonesia's car market would grow from 485,000 units last year to between 560,000 units and 600,000 units this year. Last year's sales declined 19.9% from 2008, but clearly better than the association's initial estimates of 30% drop.

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Friday, October 02, 2009

Automotive sales drops 27%

New car sales dropped 27% last month on long Lebaran holidays. Toyota maintained its domination in the market.
Car sales for September reached 35,000 - 36,000 units, where Toyota sold 14,400 cars, declined 21.7% from the previous month. Overall, according to Gaikindo statistics, car market declined 28% to 335,334 units for the first nine months of 2009. The automotive business association predicts a 22% to 24% market decline this year. 
Overall, Toyota controlled 38.4% market share in Jan-Aug 2009 with 115,187 units, followed by Daihatsu (47,583 units), Mitsubishi (37,200), Suzuki (28725), and Honda (23,426).
Meanwhile, motorcycle sales dropped 30% last month, also due to the long holidays. Motorcycle sales reached its record high of 626,478 units in August, even higher than August 2008. Total motorcycle sales in Jan-Aug 2009 is 3.718 million units, closer to the industry's target of 5 million units this year.
Astra International is the biggest player in both cars (Toyota, Daihatsu etc) and motorcycles (Honda). Astra's stock price has surged 210% this year to Rp32800.

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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Indomobil profits Rp3bn only

PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional (IMAS) Tbk reported net profit of Rp3.3 billion in the first quarter 2009 on Rp1.6 trillion sales revenue.
Indomobil sales revenue declined slightly by 3% to Rp1.59 trillion, while its gross profit increased to Rp230 billion. The company managed to boost its operating profit by 22%, but higher financial expenses cost the company a lower net profit for the period.
Indomobil stock price surged from Rp530 early this month to close at Rp910 yesterday. At Rp910, Indomobil has market capitalization of US$90 million or about 17% from its total asset (US$527 million).
Indomobil has total liabilities of Rp4.8 trillion, or about 18 times its net equity of Rp271 billion. Long-term bank loans increased sharply to Rp1.36 trillion from Rp704 billion last year.

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006

Namicoh expand Indonesia facility

PT Namicoh Indonesia Component, a subsidiary of Namicoh Co Ltd, Japan, is expanding its automotive component production facility in EJIP Industrial Park, Karawang, West Java with additional investment of USD11 million.

Other Japanese manufacturers are also expanding their plants in Indonesia. PT Honda Precision Parts Manufacturing, for example, is working on expansion of engine valve plant with additional capacity of 7.5 million units/year at Indotasei Industrial Park, Karawang, West Java.
Aichi Forging Indonesia is investing USD1.8 million to boost production of rear axle, propeller shaft, front axle components.
Unfortunately, no significant new investors from Japan. The size of existing investors' expansion are also insignificant. We know why, but we do nothing to change that.

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Monday, November 27, 2006

Banking outlook 2007

Below is an excerpt of my discussion with the director/chief financial officer (CFO) of one of the largest banks in Indonesia.


Q: Central Bank had reduced significantly benchmark rates, how you see 2007?
A: Lending rates would be cut significantly from 14% to 10%-11% next year if Central Bank could cut its benchmark rate to 8.5%. But bear in mind that wouldn't automatically boost the economy.
Q: Why?
A: Well, this year my bank had signed Rp10 trillion of new loans, but disbursement had only reached Rp4 trillion till October. The purchasing power is not recovered yet. Look at the significant drop in retail, consumers, and automotive sector.
Q: But hasn't the bottom been reached and the recovery has been started in the last few months?
A: It's true. But as people expect lower interest rate, they're waiting few more months to take new loans. So, it's a wait & see situation. Besides, we need government to be more aggresive in spending next year.
Q: I think the budget has been quite aggresive in spending, but absorption level is apparently the problem with less than 50% in 10 months?
A: Somehow, government should balance the stick and carrot so the project leaders would be brave enough to move on.
Q: What do you mean?
A: Well, anti-corruption campaign has created psychological effect for project leaders, especially the state-funded ones. It's good, right on track. But you gotta give people more carrots, incentives to take risks.
Q: OK, sector wise, which ones have performed well this year?
A: Agriculture, especially plantations, mining, and project finance performed quite well. We're targeting Rp15 trillion of new loans signed next year with disbursement expectation at Rp10 trillion. I think consumer sector would revive next year, but slowly.
Q: Your concern?
A: Job creation. We have too high unemployment rate. Somehow, government should mediate the conflicting interests between businessmen & workers union. A more friendly environment for business would create not only new jobs but better protection for existing workers.

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Sunday, November 26, 2006

Indonesia in 2007

12 months ago I chaired a seminar discussing economic outlook for 2006 with several respected talking heads. The conclusion was Indonesia would grow faster in third quarter 2006 as the full impact of fuel price hike in October 2005 faded out after six months or so. Unfortunately, as shown by Central Burea of Statistic (BPS), the economic growth in Q3 has been the weakest at 5.5% only.

Part of the problems is low absorption of 2006 state budget in which spending for capital and goods for in Jan-Oct well below 50%.
The Central Bank's interest rate actually matched the prediction in Q3, but that's not the case with lending rates which remains too high to boost the economy. NPL, especially in state-owned banks, is high still.
Stock market is bullish though, and increasingly attractive for debt issuance. Foreign direct investment has been insignificant. Infrastructure projects are in slow-motion. Manufacturing industry's competitiveness dropped significantly. But export grew impressively? Well, thanks to huge increase in commodity price. Domestic consumption slowed down. Automotive is the worst.
Last week, I attended the same seminar discussing outlook for 2007. The speakers, Miranda Gultom (Deputy Governor of Central Bank), Sri Mulyani Indrawati (Minister of Finance, represented by economist Chatib Basri who is currently special staff for Mulyani), Mari Elka Pangestu (minister of trade affairs). The conclusion, Indonesia in 2007 would be better off. That simple? What kind of Indonesia we have next year?
Political & Security: Stable! (Important political event will be Jakarta gubernatorial election)
Fiscal Sustainability: Cautiously optimistic! (take into account the shortage in tax collection in 2006, slow progress of privatization of SOEs through stock market, slow absorption of budget)
Monetary: Stable! (Low inflation, Central Bank's target for key inflation is 7%). Central Bank's focus will be encouraging banks to improve the intermediation role. But how?
FDI: Remains low! Some wait the deliberation of Investment Law (in the discussion with parliament). Government promised to pass the law before the end of 2006. The new law is expected to give more protections to foreign direct investment and create level playing field for domestic and foreign investment which are currently regulated with different laws.
Energy: Volatile! (in supply & price)
Job market: Slow growth!
Consumer spending: Rebound, slow growth! (the planned increase in civil servants salary, minimum wage hike. Car market is expected to grow from 310,000 unit to 370,000 unit next year, still far below 2005 level at 520,000 unit. Motorycle sales dropped 18% this year and would grow 10% next year, but still below 2005 level. But consumption would still the country's strength supported by what economist Chatib Basri called Indonesia's hidden economy.)
Banking: More consolidation (merger/acquisition), lower NPL, lower interest rates, higher lending! In 2006, despite lower interest rate, lending has been hampered with low absorption. BCA, for example, signed Rp10 trillion new loans in 2006 but only Rp4 trillion that had been absorbed in 10 months (till October). Only plantations and mining performed well.
Property market: Oversupply, falling price! (Property market dropped 10%-20% in 2006 due to lower purchasing power & high lending rates. Lower lending rates could improve the market, but oversupply lingers)
Manufacturing: Stagnant! No significant investment! Main driver would be expansion projects of existing investors.
Infrastructure: Remains slow! Land acquisition & financing issues are still major problems.

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Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Exedy Corp enters Indonesia

Automotive component producer Exedy Corporation, Japan, enters Indonesia with its plan to invest USD13 million to build motorcycle component manufacturing facility in Pulogadung, Jakarta.

Exedy Corporation (Japan) and Exedy Globalparts Corporation (USA) have established PT Exedy Motorcycle Indonesia for that purpose. The plant will have the capability to produce 1.4 million pcs of multiplate clutch, 1.4 million pcs of carrier clutch assy, and 700,000 pcs one way clutch per year. The factory would create new job for 376 Indonesian and 8 expatriates. Welcome & Arigato!

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Sunday, July 16, 2006

Motorcycle sales drop 26.2%

Motorcycle sales in the first half 2006 dropped 26.2% from the same period last year, Tempointeraktif.com reported Sunday quoting data from industry association.

According to Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association, motorcycle sales in H1 2006 reached 1.81 million units, dropped 26.2% from the same period last year at 2.45 million unit. The report is pretty much in line with earlier prediction that motorcycle sales this year would drop 25% on high interest rate and weaker purchasing power.
Ridwan Gunawan, chairman of the association, meanwhile praised the increasing monthly sales since April and expecting higher sales in second half. But he was pretty sure the year's total sales will not match last year's 5.1 million units. He predicted the total sales would only reach 4 million units.
Car sales also dropped significantly by 49% to 149,000 units in the first half. Central Bank's decision to cut it's benchmark rate by 25 points last week is seen as signal of further reduction that will eventually push banks to lower lending rates. But the recent oil price hike following the security concern in Middle East might potentially ruin the central bank's plan.
Positive side: Lower automotive sales give time to authorities to fix the country's crazy public transportation, especially the bad traffic in Jakarta.
Negative: Automotive-related stocks, including financing, and job market.

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Tuesday, May 23, 2006

Japan automotive investments keep coming

Japan could be considered the most consistent investor in Indonesia so far, at least with the incoming new automotive component investment commitments.


Data from Investment Coordinating Board shown the following new investments from Japanese companies in the automotive sector:
1) TSC Manufacturing: A joint venture between PT Takagi Sari Multi Utama, Sumitomo Shoji Chemicals Co Ltd, and Takagi Seiko Corporation to build a US$6.6 million automotive plastic component (800,000 pcs/year) in Delta Silicon Industrial Park, Bekasi, West Java.
2) Mikuni Indonesia: A JV between Mikuni (Thailand) Co Ltd and Mikuni Corporation to invest US$4 million in a secondary air valve and carburator plant in EJIP Industrial Estate, West Java.
3) Sankei Indonesia: A JV between Mr Hiroshi Tokoro and Sankei Co Ltd to build a US$6 million plant to produce plastic painted autoparts (1.2 million pcs/year) in KIIC Industrial Estate, Karawang, West Java.
4) Indonesia Nippon Steel Pipe: A JV between Siam Nippon Steel Pipe Co Ltd (Thailand) and Toshiba Industry Co. Ltd (Japan) to produce automotive component in Indotasei Industrial Estate, Karawang, West Java with US$18.75 million investment.

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Saturday, May 20, 2006

US Auto giant to invest US$1.4bn in Indonesia

An automotive manufacturer from United States is in talks with Indonesia government to invest an integrated car production facilities in the country with investment up to USD1.4bn, the largest automotive investment committment so far.


Detik.com quoted Muhammad Lutfi, head of Investment Coordinating Agency, saying the US company would produce cars in the range of 1,000 cc to 2,000 cc cyllinders with installed capacity up to 200,000 units per year.
Lutfi didn't disclose the name of the company but admitting Indonesia and Thailand are now competing to bring in the investment. Thailand is considered a better place for investment for automotive giants mainly due to its more relax luxury cars tax system.
But Indonesia is a big market with strong demand. Last year, the car sales reached its record high of 530,000 units.
Indonesia is not a place of choice for US auto manufacturers as none of Ford or General Motors made significant investment here. Japanese car manufacturers are the dominant players in the market with Toyota, Suzuki, Honda, and Mitsubishi as the leading brands.

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Friday, May 19, 2006

Fujita expand Indonesia facility

PT Fujita Indonesia had secured investment license to build a new automotive component plant in Karawang, West Java.


PT Fujita Indonesia had secured investment license to build a new automotive component plant in Karawang, West Java.
The plant, capable to produce 1.2 million pcs of crank shaft, would be built with US$5.17 million investment and create around 50 new jobs.
PT Fujita Indonesia is a joint venture between Fujita Tekosho Co Ltd, Fuji Kanagata Seisakusho, and Daiwa Tanko Co Ltd.

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Siam Nippon & Toshiba establish JV in Indonesia

Thailand's Siam Nippon Steel Pipe Co Ltd and Japan's Toshiba Industry Co Ltd establish a new joint venture to produce automotive components in West Java, Indonesia.


Thailand's Siam Nippon Steel Pipe Co Ltd and Japan's Toshiba Industry Co Ltd establish a new joint venture to produce automotive components in West Java, Indonesia.
The JV, named PT Indonesia Nippon Steel Pipe, will invest US$18.75 million in the new plant which will produce rolled tube (42,000 pcs), cold draw tube (18,000 pcs), and cutting tube (18 million pcs) per year.
The plant would create 140 new jobs, mainly for locals. The plant will be located at Indotasei Industrial Estate, Karawang, West Java province.

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Monday, April 17, 2006

Mitsubishi Chemical expand Indonesia facility US$260 million

PT Mitsubishi Chemical Indonesia, a wholly owned subsidiary of Japan's Mitsubishi Chemical, will expand its purified therephthalic acid (PTA) plant in Merak, Banten province, Indonesia with additional investment of US$249.75 million.
PTA is the main raw material for polyester staple fiber (for textile manufacturers) and PET resin (plastic raw material). PTA is the preferred raw material used to produce Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) or polyester. The major applications for polyester are in fiber, bottles, films and molded containers. In the textile industry, polyester, alone or in a blend with cotton, wool or other synthetic fiber, is used in fabrics for clothing and home furnishings. For industrial markets, woven polyester fibers are used in automotive tire cord and seat belt application. Polyester resins are also widely used in molded containers for food, beverages and mineral water. Additionally, polyester films is used as a recording medium for audio and video tapes and as film in medical X-ray equipment.
Mitsubishi currently operates a 650,000 t/y PTA plant in Merak, the largest in Indonesia. The new plant would have installed capacity of 400,000 t/y.
Is this the sign of awakening of Indonesia's chemical industry after years of slowdown? What's happened with other PTA producers such as PT Polysindo Eka Perkasa, PT Amoco Mitsui Indonesia, PT Polyprima Karyareksa, and Pertamina?
Await my special report on Indonesian PTA and chemical industry...my favourite topic.
Mitsubishi Chemical's PTA plants are located in four countries. Japan with 250,000 t/y, South Korea through Sam Nam Petrochemical Co (1.6 million t/y), Indonesia (650,000 t/y) and India (470,000 t/y). Besides the PTA, Mitsubishi also operates a PET film plant in Merak with installed capacity of 20,000 t/y.
Mitsubishi is the largest PTA producer in Indonesia. Other producers are:
- PT Polyprima Karyareksa = 480,000 t/y
- PT Amoco Mitsui Indonesia = 350,000 t/y
- PT Polysindo Eka Perkasa = 350,000 t/y
- PT Pertamina = 225,000 t/y
It brings the country's total PTA capacity at 2.1 million tones per year. With conversion factor of 670 kg of paraxylene to produce 1 ton of PTA, Indonesia needs at least 1.3 million t/y of paraxylene. The problem, Indonesia has only two aromatic centers producing paraxylene with combined capacity of 775,000 t/y leaving almost half the demand from import. So why Mitsubishi wanted to expand PTA plant in Indonesia without enough domestic supply of paraxylene? The new plant would bring Mitsubishi's capacity to 1.05 million t/y which translates to 670,000 t/y paraxylene consumption.

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Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Indonesia Corporations 2005 results

Indonesia's beer and cigarette producers make good money in 2005, positive growth from 2004. Manufacturers had bad year. Food and consumer goods recorded reduction of profit, except the milk producers. Energy companies and related services companies, shipping, and plantations were doing well. But the banks, while still profitable, feel the heat of increasing interest rate last year. TV made good money, but not my favourite newspaper and magazine Tempo.

Below are 2005 financial result of some Indonesian companies listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange (against 2004 in the brackets):
- PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk, food: Profit Rp124bn (negative)
- PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk, consumer goods: Rp1.44 trillion (-)
- PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk, oil and gas: Profit Rp195bn (positive)
- PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk, coal produer: Profit Rp467 billion (positive growth)
- PT Bank Panin Tbk, bank: Profit Rp505 billion (negative)
- PT Bank Permata Tbk, bank: Profit Rp295bn (negative)

- PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk, bank: Profit Rp1.4 trillion (negative)

- PT Bank Artha Graha Tbk, bank: Profit Rp22bn (-)
- PT Sari Husada Tbk, milk producer: Profit Rp289 billion (positive growth)
- PT Humpuss Intermoda, shipping: Profit Rp 143 billion (negative growth)
- PT Malindo Feedmill Tbk, feed mill: Profit Rp47 billion (positive)
- PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk, plantation: Profit Rp115 billion (positive)
- PT Bakrie & Brothers Tbk, holding company: Profit Rp292bn (positive)
- PT Asahimas Flat Glass Tbk, glass producer: Profit Rp212 billion (positive)
- PT Bhakti Capital Indonesia Tbk, brokerage firm: Profit Rp22 billion (positive)
- PT Indofarma Tbk, pharmaceutical: Profit Rp9bn (positive)
- PT Andhi Chandra Tbk, automotive: Profit Rp16bn (negative)
- PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, agriculture: Profit Rp41bn (positive)
- PT Pelayaran Tempura Mas Tbk, shipping: Profit Rp126bn (positive)
- PT Jembo Cable Company Tbk, cable manufacturer: Loss Rp2bn (negative)
- PT Sepatu Bata Tbk, shoes manufacturer: Profit Rp25bn (negative)
- PT Gudang Garam Tbk, cigarette: Profit Rp1.89 trillion (positive)
- PT Bentoel International Tbk, cigarette: Profit Rp108 billion (positive)
- PT Lion Metal Works Tbk, metal: Profit Rp19bn (negative)
- PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, media: Profit Rp65bn (positive)

- PT Tempo Inti Media Tbk, media: Loss Rp8bn (negative)
- PT Pan Brothers Tbk, textile: Profit Rp10bn (positive)
- PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk, component: Profit Rp60bn (positive)
- PT Siantar Top Tbk, food: Profit Rp10bn (negative)
- PT Toba Pulp Lestari Tbk, pulp: Loss Rp24bn (positive)
- PT Bank ANK Tbk, bank: Profit Rp11bn (positive)
- PT Voksel Electric Tbk, cable manufacturer: Profit Rp27bn (positive)
- PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, electronic: Profit Rp16bn (positive)
- PT Bank Swadesi Tbk, bank: Profit Rp11bn (positive)
- PT Tigaraksa Satria Tbk, distribution: Profit Rp19.5bn (positive)
- PT Panin Sekuritas Tbk, brokerage firm: Profit Rp31bn (positive)
- PT Petrosea Tbk, oil & gas: Profit Rp83bn (+)
- PT Sucaco Tbk, cable manufacturer: Profit Rp56bn (+)
- PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry Tbk, milk: Profit Rp4bn (+)
- PT Pembangunan Perumahan Tbk, construction: Profit Rp66bn (+)
- PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk, toll road operator: Profit Rp81bn (-)
- PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk, beer producer: Profit Rp87bn (-)
- PT Delta Djakarta Tbk, beer producer: Profit Rp56bn (+)
- PT Duta Pertiwi Nusantara Tbk, chemical: Profit Rp4bn (-)
- PT Ekadharma Tape Industries Tbk, plastic: Profit Rp5bn (+)
- PT Cipendawa Agroindustri Tbk, animal husbandry: Profit Rp0.9bn (-)
- PT Wahana Phonix Mandiri Tbk, textile: Profit Rp2bn (+)
- PT Siwani Trimitra Tbk: Loss Rp7bn (+)
- PT Pudjiadi and Sons Tbk, property: Profit Rp2bn (-)
- PT Asiaplast Industries Tbk, plastic: Loss Rp4bn (+)
- PT Kresna Graha Sekurindo Tbk, brokerage firm: Profit Rp6bn (-)
- PT Gema Grahasarana Tbk, interior & manufacturing: Profit Rp4bn (+)
- PT Intraco Penta Tbk, heavy equipments: Profit Rp18bn (+)

- PT Duta Anggada Realty Tbk, property: Profit Rp197bn (+)

- PT Fatrapolindo Nusa Industri Tbk, plastic: Profit Rp57bn (+)

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Friday, March 24, 2006

Astra's profit decreased 5 percent

The largest automaker and distributor PT Astra International Tbk booked total sales of Rp61.17 trillion (almost US$6.22 billion) in 2005, increased 36 percent from Rp44.92 trillion (US$4.83 billion) in 2004. Sounds good. But look at the sales in US dollars, the actual growth was just 28.77 percent as the rupiah depreciated around 6 percent against US dollars last year.
As costs of goods sold jumped 37 percent, Astra booked 33 percent increase in gross profit at Rp13.72 trillion. Operating expenses also increased by 37 percent due to huge increase in general and administration costs. As a result Astra booked Rp6.41 trillion (US$652 million) of operating profit, a growth of 28.9 percent from 2004.
With significant growth in the contribution of associated and jointly controlled entities at Rp2.16 trillion, Astra's performance actually more 'real' than the previous year with almost Rp575 billion of gain in foreign exchangetranslation.
All in all, Astra then booked net profit of Rp5.457 trillion (US$551 million), 0.96 percent higher than Rp5.40 trillion (US$581 million) even though in US dollar the company's profit actually lower by 5.16 percent.
With the huge drop in automotive sales in the first three months of 2006, Astra is facing a difficult year.

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Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Jakarta subway, another 30 years of discussion

It's just ten days away for Indonesia government to decide, whether to accept Japan's offer to finance the long-awaited mass rapid transportation system (MRT) to be built in super-crowded Jakarta. March 31 is the deadline as Japan will start the new fiscal year.
Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JIBC) has repeatedly offer low-interest rate loans, this time 0.4% over 40 years of payment and 10 years of grace period. I would say the offer is lot better than the recently issued US$1 billion global bonds which bears 7.75% interest per annum.
Jakarta Governor Sutiyoso seems want to close his 10-year tenure (next year) with something spectaculer to remember. So he wrote president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono recently asking government's decision on the MRT project. (This one is probably more important than Sutiyoso's proposal to create a Megapolitan Administration)
He doubted the plan of some state-owned enterprises to takeover the project. "Even we can't build good schools building," he said with cynism.
That's not the first statement of Sutiyoso. I remember back in 2001, Sutiyoso once claimed the construction of MRT project to be started that year at the cost of US$1.75 billion and would absorb 60,000 workers. He should make this happen now.
Three years ago, JBIC agreed to provide US$767.66 million funding for the MRT system at higher interest rate of 0.95%. So, if Sutiyoso was right with the latest offer of 0.4%, this one could significantly cut almost half the interest payments over 30 years time.
I wonder if government could make decision this time. But to my surprise, government rejected Japan's offer on disagreement over terms of the loans (tied loans) and Indonesia's demand to have 75% local content in the project.
Fourteen years ago, when I was a reporter for technology beat, then minister for research and technology BJ Habibie (former president) was the one who heavily supported the country's long-awaited mass rapid transport system. I wrote many articles about the subway system many times only to be upset over and over. Even some of them with exact timetable that the MRT would be in operation by 2000.
I agree 100% with the MRT system, probably due to personal experience with Underground in London, UK or Bay Area Rapid Transport (BART) in Bay Area, San Francisco, USA. That's why I never fed up imagining Jakarta would have such system some day.
But, my goodness, 30 years have passed, we're keep talking about it. That's why Jakartans love to call MRT as a Masih Rapat Terus (Still Under Discussion) project.
Imagine that, the idea was first floated in the 1970s and later during the administration of governor Surjadi Soedirdja, was last postponed after the financial crisis in 1997.
Transportation experts have repeatedly said that the MRT was one of the most effective solutions to tackling chronic traffic congestion in the capital, although they also said it would be extremely expensive.
Other observers say the city's messy underground sewer, power and telecommunications networks, its unstable soil structure and its recurrent flooding problems could turn any underground project into an engineering nightmare. The engineering fears are real given that Jakarta is basically a flood plain but Bangkok has been able to do it.
Imagine the congestion in the capital when the construction starts. But I think people would not mind at all, say for three years, as long as they know exactly MRT could make their life better off.
So what's the problem then?
Well, back in 1994, Habibie signed a memorandum of understanding with two Japanese companies, Sumitomo and Itochu, to build the MRT.
In 1995, when Surjadi was the governor, he signed the MoU with Japan European Group which consisted of PT Citra Lamtorogung (controlled by Siti Hardiyanti Rukmana, former president Soeharto's eldest daughter), PT Bakrie Investindo (controlled by Aburizal Bakrie, currently the coordinating minister for people's welfare),Itochu, and Ferrostaal (Germany).
Other investors worth mentioned are Ciputra Group, Lippo Group, Bukaka Group (partly owned by VP Jusuf Kalla's family) and Suthamtabie (a company owned by the family of Habibie).
I guess, as long as government can't settle the issue of who would be the investors in this project, we should wait few more decades, or even it will never come.
This time, government turned down Japan's offer for funding on local content issue, in which Indonesia government demanded 75% of the value of the project should be provided by local companies. It means that we have to wait 30 more years to really have MRT in place.
Others said intensive lobby from automotive producers may also block the MRT project. But if they book lower car sales in Jakarta, like in the last three months, blame the traffic!

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Thursday, March 16, 2006

Honeywell expands Indonesia facilities

PT Honeywell Indonesia, a subsidiary of Honeywell International, is expanding its facilities in Batam Island, Indonesia with new investment of US$3.8 million.
The new facility will produce indicators and Navom (12,636 pcs) with new jobs to be created for 159 people.
Honeywell International is a $26 billion diversified technology and manufacturing leader, serving customers worldwide with aerospace products and services; control technologies for buildings, homes and industry; automotive products; turbochargers; and specialty materials.
Based in Morris Township, N.J., Honeywell’s shares are traded on the New York, London, Chicago and Pacific Stock Exchanges. It is one of the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average and is also a component of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.

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Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Aisin Seiki acquired more shares in Indonesia unit

Japanese Aisin Seiki Co Ltd has completed the acquisition of 16% shares in automotive parts manufacturer PT Aisin Indonesia at Rp123.33 billion (US$13.4 million) to boost its total shares in the company to 56.1%.
Aisin bought additional shares from PT Senantiasa Makmur, a subsidiary of listed automotive parts manufacturer PT Astra Otoparts Tbk. With the acquisition, Senantiasa's shares decreased to 34%. Other shareholders at PT Aisin Indonesia are Aisin Takaoka Co Ltd (3.3%), Aisin Chemical Co Ltd (3.3%), and Toyota Tsusho Corporation (3.3%).
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk is a subsidiary of diversified group PT Astra International Tbk. The group is the largest automotive manufacturer and distributor in Indonesia. Singapore's Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited is the largest shareholder at Astra International with 50% stakes.

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Tuesday, January 10, 2006

Indonesia's trade balance: What's wrong?

Early last week, Indonesia's Central Bureau of Statistic (BPS) announced the country's 18.98% export growth in the period of January-November 2005 against the same period in 2004. That's good!
Import grew 26.8% in the period, however, to make the overall trade balance a surplus of around US$4.6 billion. Not bad!
But when we look deeper into the numbers, Indonesia's trade performance is not as good as it seems. Look at the oil and gas sector. Oil and gas export, contributed around 22.5% of Indonesia's export, grew by 21.53% to US$17.38 billion. Import on this particular sector, however, jumped 52.59% to US$16.07 billion. Yes the country still booked positive balance of US$1.3 billion. But the surplus has been shrinked from US$3.8 billion in January-November 2004.
Natural gas export saved the day with net balance of US$8.2 billion. But the oil balance is worrysome. Indonesia's oil export revenue was only US$9 billion, while its import reached US$16 billion, leaving the country in a negative balance of US$7 billion in oil products. The reason is clear. Indonesia's oil output has been stagnant at slightly below 1 million barrels per day, dropped from around 1.4 million bpd few years back, while domestic consumption has grown to around 1.4 million bpd.
The non-oil and gas trade balance is also in trouble. It is true that non-oil and gas booked trade surplus of US$23.3 billion in the January-November 2005, increased significantly from US$19.3 billion in the same period 2004.
But it was not a result of better competitiveness of manufacturing sector. It was mainly a result of higher energy price. Coal export revenue, classified as non-oil and gas product, grew 176% in the January-November 2005 to US$4.16 billion. Mining products also booked export revenue of US$2.96 billion, jumped 181%.
Crude palm oil was also the major contributor for the country's trade surplus with total export of US$4.39 billion. Other agriculture product, rubber, is the second largest with US$3.14 billion. That's it. Electronics were doing good with total export of US$6.66 billion. But don't expect good news from textiles, shoes, automotive, steel, chemicals, plastics, or other manufactured products. Indonesia clearly needs to revive those sectors immediately.

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