Friday, July 31, 2009

BUMI trading frenzy

PT Bumi Resources (BUMI) Tbk dominated stock trading this morning with over 800 million shares exchanged hands in less than two hours of trading. The stock surged 13% to Rp2750 after yesterday's 10% gain.
Yesterday, 905 million shares exchanged hands with total trading value of Rp2.1 trillion where foreign investors were in net buy of over 200 million shares through UOB, UBS, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, AmCapital, and Macquarie. Credit Suisse, agent for US$375 million convertible bond being issued by Enercoal---BUMI's subsidiary, was the biggest net buyer of 136 million shares.
On Wednesday, July 29, 648 million shares exchanged hands with total trading value of Rp1.45 trillion, where CLSA was the biggest net buyer of 125 million shares. In the previous trading day, CLSA also collected a net of 85 million shares.
At Rp2750, BUMI gained 547% from its bottom in January 15. THe stock is currently traded 67% below its peak of Rp8550 in June 2008. It is true that BUMI is lagging behind peers like Adaro (27% below last year's peak), Indika (34%), or Bukit Asam (19%) in the recovery. But with expected lower net profit this year (lower volume and prices) and bigger debts?

Coal 31-Jul-09 30-Dec-08 YTD (%) Peak From Peak (%) Low From Low (%)
Adaro Energy 1,270 520 144 1,730 -27 530 140
ATPK Resources 260 128 103 2,625 -90 110 136
Bumi Resources 2,750 910 202 8,450 -67 425 547
Bayan Resources 5,450 940 480 5,450 0 840 549
Indo Tambangraya  26,300 10,500 150 35,000 -25 5,950 342
Resource Alam 2,500 1,750 43 1,750 43 950 163
Perdana Karya 370 335 10 1,440 -74 210 76
Bukit Asam 13,350 6,900 93 16,500 -19 4,150 222
Petrosea 10,200 3,600 183 10,150 -4 3,350 204
Indika 2350 1090 116 3575 -34 920 155

BUMI had total liabilities of US$3.35 billion in March 31, 2009, surged 136% from March 2008 as the company raised more loans to finance acquisitions, including Herald Resources (ASX). 

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